The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany Increases - Northern Michigan's News Leader

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany Increases

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SOURCE The Conference Board

BRUSSELS, March 21, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany increased 0.6 percent in January to 108.9 (2004 = 100), following a 0.3 percent increase in December and a 0.5 percent increase in November.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Germany, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.4 percent in January to 108.2 (2004 = 100), following a 0.1 percent decline in December, and a 0.4 percent increase in November.

After trending up for more than a year, the LEI for Germany advanced once again in January. However, its six-month growth rate has slowed compared to earlier last year. In the meantime, the CEI has improved moderately in recent months, and its six-month growth rate has slightly increased. Taken together, the recent behavior of the composite indexes suggests that the current expansion in economic activity should continue in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Germany
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Germany include:

New Orders, Investment Goods 
Yield Spread cumulated, 10 year minus 3 month
Change in Inventories
Gross Enterprise and Property Income
Stock Prices
New Orders, Residential Construction
Consumer Confidence Index

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is a global, independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.

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For more information including full press release and technical notes: 
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=4

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: 
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm


Summary Table of Composite Indexes


2013

2014

6-month


Nov

Dec

Jan

Jun to Jan










Leading Economic Index (LEI)  

107.9

r  

108.2

p  

108.9

p



   Percent Change  

0.5


0.3

p  

0.6

p  

1.4

p

   Diffusion  

71.4


71.4


92.9


71.4











Coincident Economic Index (CEI)  

107.9

r  

107.8

r  

108.2




   Percent Change  

0.4


-0.1

r  

0.4


0.7


   Diffusion  

100.0


75.0


100.0


100.0











n.a. Not available    p Preliminary    r Revised

Indexes equal 100 in 2004

Source: The Conference Board      All Rights Reserved

 

©2012 PR Newswire. All Rights Reserved.

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